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Workers' Flows and Real Wage Cyclicality

Authors 
Anabela Carneiro
Publication Year 
2004
JEL Code 
D21 - Firm Behavior
J30 - General
J31 - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials by Skill, Training, Occupation, etc.
Abstract 
This study investigates real wage cyclicality in Portugal for the years of 1986-98, addressing the heterogeneity in wages responses to aggregate labor market conditions for workers' hirings and separations. The results exhibit a moderate procyclical behavior of real wages for continuously employed workers, in particular, for job stayers. For workers' accessions a strongly procyclical behavior in wages was observed, which is consistent with the idea that entry wages are much more procyclical than current wages. This empirical evidence suggests that even micro-data estimates of real wage cyclicality may conceal a strong procyclical wage behavior, when heterogeneity on wages responses to aggregate conditions between employed workers and hirings and separations is not taken into account.
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