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Forecasting Portuguese GDP with factor models
2014
Authors
Publication Year
2014
Abstract
In this article, we assess the relative performance of factor models to forecast GDP growth in Portugal. A large dataset is compiled for the Portuguese economy and its usefulness for nowcasting and short-term forecasting is investigated. Since, in practice, one has to cope with different publication lags and unbalanced data, we also address the real-time performance of such models.
Document link
Journal (repec)
Economic Bulletin