You are here

Forecasting Portuguese GDP with factor models

Authors 
Maximiano Pinheiro
Francisco Craveiro Dias
Publication Year 
2014
Abstract 
In this article, we assess the relative performance of factor models to forecast GDP growth in Portugal. A large dataset is compiled for the Portuguese economy and its usefulness for nowcasting and short-term forecasting is investigated. Since, in practice, one has to cope with different publication lags and unbalanced data, we also address the real-time performance of such models.
Document link 
Journal (repec) 
Economic Bulletin
Tags